Thursday 8 August 2013

Yemen

The al-Qaeda'threat' may or may not exist, but a very real war is being waged by the United States

US drone strikes kill seven alleged al-Qaida members in Yemen
Attack in Shabwa province comes days after US government says intelligence showed increase in terrorist 'chatter



7 August, 2013


New US drone strikes reportedly killed seven alleged al-Qaida members in southern Yemen on Wednesday after the government in Sana'a claimed to have foiled a large-scale terrorist attack and the US and Britain evacuated their embassy staff.

Security officials told the Associated Press the latest drone attacks hit targets in Shabwa province, where residents reported seeing two vehicles and several bodies on fire.

The news came as details emerged in the capital of an ambitious plan by al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), a "franchise" of the global terrorist network, to attack oil installations and towns.

Rajeh Badi, press adviser to Prime Minister Mohammed Salem Basindwa, said the plot involved dozens of fighters in Yemeni army uniforms storming the facilities on Sunday night, and holding them. Yemeni officials spoke of a plan to take control of the Mina al-Dhaba oil terminal, which is run by Canada, in the Mukallah region on the Arabian Sea.

The US state department said on Tuesday that its decision to close its embassy and to repeat a call for all US citizens to leave the country had been prompted by a "specific and immediate threat."

US intelligence is reported to have earlier intercepted "chatter" indicating an impending terrorist attack, along with a conversation between the al-Qaida leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, who is believed to be in hiding in Pakistan, and Nasser al-Wuhayshi, the head of AQAP.

The New York Times said the conversation represented one of the most serious plots since the 9/11 attacks prompting the closure of 19 US embassies worldwide. Britain and several other western countries followed suit. "This was significant because it was the big guys talking, and talking about very specific timing for an attack or attacks," the New York Times quoted one official as saying.

Yemeni officials told AP they believe the motive for the planned attacks was retaliation for the killing of Wuhayshi's deputy, Said al-Shihri, who was critically wounded in a November drone strike and later died of his injuries.

The US response to the threat has triggered renewed criticism of the Obama adminstration's approach to Yemen, which is said to include tactics tried in Pakistan and Afghanistan but which are inappropriate to conditions in the Arab world's poorest and intensely tribal country.

"US efforts to decapitate the leadership of al-Qaida in the Arabian peninsula have resulted in the deaths of many civilians, yet there is no certainty as to who the targets really are," commented Christina Hellmich of Reading University. "The membership of AQAP remains unknown while the deaths worsen the problems for the US in the region, by supporting the political legitimacy of the jihadis as they struggle to establish a position in the contested state."

AQAP has attempted to mount several attacks on US soil, including a bid to bring down a passenger plane over Detroit in 2009 by a man wearing explosives in his underwear, and a failed plot to send bombs concealed in printers.

Earlier that year the group tried to assassinate the Saudi security chief, Prince Muhammad bin Nayef, with a bomb that was concealed on the attacker's body.

The Sana'a government said this week that it was hunting 25 named AQAP operatives it suspects of planning attacks.



Even Yemeni Government Spokesman Finds Foiled Plot Hard to Believe


7 August, 2013

Even the spokesman for the Yemeni embassy in Washington, D.C. is having a hard time believing a plot by al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula that the Yemeni government says it foiled.

Several news agencies -- including the BBC, the New York Times, and Bloomberg, among others -- reported this morning that the Yemeni government claimed it had stopped a large AQAP attack in Yemen's Hadhramaut province. As the BBC reported:
Yemeni government spokesman Rajeh Badi said the plot involved blowing up oil pipelines and taking control of certain cities -- including two ports in the south, one of which accounts for the bulk of Yemen's oil exports and is where a number of foreign workers are employed.
"There were attempts to control key cities in Yemen like Mukala and Bawzeer," said Mr Badi.
"This would be co-ordinated with attacks by al-Qaeda members on the gas facilities in Shebwa city and the blowing up of the gas pipe in Belhaf city."

That didn't sound right to Mohammed Albasha, a spokesman for the Yemeni embassy, and he said so on his personal Twitter account:



For the record: #AQAP doesn't have the man power nor the capabilities to capture a city the size of Mukkala in Hadramout #Yemen #CommonSense
14 RETWEETS 4 FAVORITES

Word. | RT @gregorydjohnsen Along with many I'm skeptical of the reports that AQAP was about to seize ports in #Yemen




@BaFana3 @gregorydjohnsen I second that
1 RETWEET


AQAP notably tried to seize Yemeni towns in 2011 and 2012, as the country's popular uprising drew the military's attention to the capital, Sanaa. And it was a strategic blunder for the organization. AQAP and its political arm, Ansar al-Sharia, alienated the towns they occupied and were ousted by the Yemeni military and "popular committees" -- militias formed by local sheikhs to retake the area. Since being pushed out in mid-2012, AQAP has remained in hiding.
The New York Times was more measured in its appraisal of the threat, reporting that the target was not whole cities, but rather a specific Canadian-operated oil installation in the Hadhramaut port capital of Mukallah. But even this seemed strange to some Yemen experts.
"[Yemeni authorities are] claiming that this plot that they've foiled includes attacks planned against oil pipelines here, specifically to take control of several ports in Yemen," Iona Craig, a correspondent for the Times of London, told BBC World Service from Sanaa. "Now, the oil pipelines get attacked on a regular basis -- in fact, they've been blown up twice in the last two weeks -- so that's not unusual, and it's not always related to al Qaeda." In fact, oil pipelines are frequently targeted by Yemeni tribal groups as a means of forcing concessions from the central government.
Adding to the dubious nature of the report: The Yemeni government did not specify how it thwarted the supposed attack. The United States conducted an airstrike in neighboring Shabwa province on Wednesday, killing seven, but that hardly seems sufficient to stop what was, by the Yemeni government's account, to be a large-scale attack.
The Yemeni government has a history of making outsized claims about its counterterrorism successes; on at least two occasions, officials claimed to have killed AQAP's deputy emir, Said al-Shihri, only for Shihri to release statements demonstrating that he was still very much alive. But there's little wonder why the Yemeni government would claim a victory now. With the U.S. diplomatic community in lockdown in response to a terror threat emanating from Yemen -- Craig, speaking to the BBC, describes the persistent hum of P-3 Orion electronic surveillance planes circling Sanaa today -- the government has every reason to try and demonstrate that it's doing its part in combating AQAP. As for what precisely that part has consisted of -- well, Yemeni officials have been more tight-lipped on that front.



Yemen Plot the New Excuse for Not Closing Gitmo
Officials Say Detainees Won't Be Released to Yemen


7 August, 2013
Two and a half months after Obama Administration officials indicated that they were preparing to “speed up” plans to let detainees cleared for release from Guantanamo Bay actually return home, officials have a new excuse not to do so.
Fresh off of Yemeni President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi’s visit to DC, at which he pressed President Obama to release the detainees, suddenly the focus on a huge plot in Yemen has officials saying that any plans to do so are indefinitely “on hold.”
Of course in the two and a half months between then and now there was no indication that officials were actually considering any serious releases of detainees in the first place. Now they just have a new excuse.
It’s particularly noteworthy that Hadi’s visit came after the first drone strikes aimed at the plot were launched but before it went public, giving Hadi a chance to feign “pressing” the US for the detainees’ release shortly before the excuse would come to life.


Al-Qaeda will continue to exist as long as the US needs it


Obama: Al-Qaeda ‘On the Way to Defeat’
Insists US 'Not Terrorized' by Terrorists

7 August, 2013
While reiterating that al-Qaeda remains a threat “to the homeland,” President Obama insisted today that his military offensives have decimated the group’s leadership and it is “on the way to defeat.”

Obama went on to insist that “those who cowardly attack civilians” don’t understand his position that the US “do not get terrorized” by terrorism and will keep up its current foreign policy in place to prove that Americans “will never retreat from the world.”
The comments come as the US has closed dozens of embassies abroad over fear of terrorist attacks, and has issued a global travel warning for the rest of the month, urging civilians to avoid any travel anywhere on the planet.
He was addressing Camp Pendleton Marines at the time, and it is possible that the broad position of the speech was penned before all of the embassy closures, though Obama did note that the recent days are a “reminder” of the global war on terror.


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